Friday 25 January 2013

Football Tips - Dortmund, Valenciennes and Karabukspor games

Pit was up 25.70 from yesterday's tips ensuring that we are back beyond the £50.00 mark.

Karabukspor v Kasimpasa (Turkish Super League) KO 5pm
Karabukspor to win
£10 @ 2.18
This game could be a little cracker. Karabukspor have beaten Trabzonspor and Fenerbahce both 1-3 away from home in the last two league games, a fantastic achievement. Meanwhile Kasimpasa had a very good 2-1 victory against Galatasaray at home on the 18th of January. But at odds of 2.18, Karabukspor have to be the value bet.

Dortmund v Nurnmberg (German Bundesliga) KO 7.30pm
Under 2.5 goals
£5 @ 2.92
This game is a punt. Dortmund offer no value at home and especially after their 5-0 demolition of Werder Bremen last outing. Nurnberg are very miserly though scoring 18 and conceding 23 in their 18 league games. They've only lost two of their last 8 league games with four draws on those. Since October, there's only been 2 games which have gone over the 2.5 goals a game against teams that they probably took on. Against higher ranked teams they can shut up shop for long periods. If they get through the first half at 0-0 or 1-0. Then the under 2.5 goals looks promising.

Valenciennes v Lyon
Draw
£5 @ 3.35
If I was pushed I'd call this as a 1-1 draw. Valenciennes struggled against Nice losing 5-0 away from home before drawing 1-1 with Ajaccio so it looks like they've tightened their tactics up slightly. Valenciennes are 5th in the league on home form only losing one game this season. Lyon drew 0-0 with Evian TG at home last outing something that their supporters were furious about but I think Valenciennes home advantage may just give them a point.

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